PLC has a new home

If you are viewing this post, please note that Pittsburgh Lumber Co. has moved. We are now located at http://pittsburghlumberco.com. Please update your bookmarks and/or links. If you are using an RSS feed to read us, you will have to update that as well.

Thank you.

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Site changes

I just wanted to let everyone know that Pittsburgh Lumber Co. will be moving to a new server at some point in the next few days. We will have a mostly redesigned layout, so expect to see some changes. I anticipate a fairly seamless transition, with little to no downtime. I could be wrong, though. If you do experience any problems accessing the site, please bear with us. We will get any bugs fixed up.

Thanks.

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Pirates agree to terms with Donnelly

The Pirates have agreed to terms with another reliever. This time it is Brendan Donnelly. Donnelly has been a very productive reliever over the past several years. He struggled in 2008 as he returned from Tommy John surgery, but rebounded nicely last year, posting a 1.78 ERA and a 2.82 FIP in 30 appearances with the Marlins. He also spent part of the year pitching with Houston’s Triple-A team and was equally effective. For his career, he has struck out just under a batter an inning with a manageable walk rate. His ground ball rate is below average, but he keeps the ball in the ballpark by inducing a large amount of infield pop-ups.

Not long ago, the Pirates were looking at a bullpen of Evan Meek, Joel Hanrahan and…Steven Jackson? In a very short amount of time, Neal Huntington has added several quality options.

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Dotel close to signing with Bucs

According to multiple reports, the Pirates are close to signing reliever Octavio Dotel. The contract is expected to be worth much less than the $6 million Dotel received last year. He would be a closer candidate, along with Joel Hanrahan and Evan Meek.

The Pirates will need to remove a player from the 40-man roster before adding Dotel. It seems that could be delaying the signing at this point. The Pirates still have plenty of players that could come off the roster without the bat of an eye, which gives me the feeling that something else might be happening. Maybe Neal Huntington is working out a trade for one of the fringe bench players on the roster. I would not be surprised.

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Pirates come to terms with Carrasco on minor league deal

Dejan reports that the Pirates have reached an agreement with reliever D.J. Carrasco on a minor league contract. Carrasco has been solid the past two years, so he should have a good chance to make the team out of spring training. The 40-man roster is currently full.

This is a solid signing.  According to Dejan, the Pirates are also close to signing Octavio Dotel and another major league reliever. If all of that happens, the bullpen would suddenly look fairly strong.

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Just a taste

It doesn’t take much to get my baseball juices flowing.  The first photo of the year that involves infield dirt brings a smile to my face every time.

Photo courtesy of Dejan Kovacevic, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

Miscellaneous

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Pirates agree to terms with Ryan Church

It was reported this morning that the Pirates are talking to free agent Ryan Church, with one report stating that a deal is close. I wrote last week that the Pirates should explore internal options over signing a free agent. For some reason, I never considered Church while writing that post. Church has a very good corner outfield glove and a league average bat. He is essentially an average player when he is healthy.

Church would be an upgrade over anyone the Pirates have to play right field at this point. If signed, he should push Garrett Jones to first base and Jeff Clement to the bench, a role he is best suited for. That would provide a marginal improvement to the Pirates lineup. Church is a much more interesting option to me than Rick Ankiel or Xavier Nady.

UPDATE (7:45 PM):
Dejan reports that the Pirates have agreed to terms with Church. His signing will depend on the results of a physical later in the week. Due to his past injury issues, that physical will be significant.

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Jack Wilson: Top 17 defensive plays of 2009

Jack Wilson

Jack Wilson - raisethejollyroger.com

I just stumbled upon this top ten list of Scott Rolen defensive plays at The Blue Jay Hunter. I immediately decided to make one for Jack Wilson. I spend much of my time pointing out that the former Pirates that Neal Huntington has traded were mostly overrated by Pirate fans. I think that often overshadows just how much I enjoyed watching these guys play. Probably the biggest treat of the past decade of Pirate baseball has been watching Jack Wilson play shortstop.

I started out looking to make a top ten list of all plays available on MLB.com, but there were just too many to choose from. I ended up with Jack’s 2009 top 17 defensive plays in a Pirate uniform. Enjoy.

17. 4/12/2009 – Triple play.

16. 5/14/2009 – This is the type of play that will never make a Web Gems segment. Jack simply does everything right to turn an Albert Pujols chopper into a double play.

15. 4/21/2009 – Just a simple diving stop to take a hit away from Dan Uggla. Ho hum.

14. 7/27/2009 – Diving stop deep in the hole and a strong throw from his knees.

13. 7/19/2009 – Jack has a real knack for finding the ball. Here he reacts quickly to a deflected comebacker to get an out.

12. 7/4/2009 – Jack slides to his right, backhands and fires to first in one motion. Very quick release.

11. 7/20/2009 – Just another 6-3 in shallow left field.

10. 6/6/2009 – See number 11.

9. 6/8/2009 – Another great play on a deflected comebacker.

8. 7/6/2009 – Jack runs down a flare in shallow center.

7. 5/29/2009 – Jack’s range makes this play look simple.

6. 5/16/2009 – Diving stop in shallow center.

5. 5/18/2009 – Another great play deep in the hole.

4. 7/7/2009 – Jack takes a hit away from Miguel Tejada.

3. 5/31/2009 – A sure single becomes a double play.

2. 4/12/2009 – We will miss seeing Jack and Freddy doing this.

1. 7/11/2009 – It’s a shame that this game is remembered for the Matt Capps ninth inning meltdown, because this ridiculous play by Jack should have been the story. After making a great play to run down the pop-up, he immediately looks for more and doubles up Jimmy Rollins. This is the reason Jack has been the Pirates’ shortstop for so many years.

BONUS: 5/27/2006 – Jack’s great play in the Pirates’ 18-inning victory over Houston.

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The NL Central

Dejan Kovacevic took a look at NL Central payrolls this morning. This is something that I have been contemplating a bit recently. If you look around the division, there are some encouraging signs for Pirate fans.

    The Cubs owe Alfonso Soriano $18 million per year through 2014. Last year, Soriano hit .241/.303/.423 while playing a lousy left field, a performance that left him well below replacement level. They can probably afford this contract albatross, but it surely does not help.
    Matt Holliday is unlikely to fall off as abruptly as it seems Soriano has, but he just signed a pretty large contract for a team that generally boasts a payroll that is only a bit above average. With Albert Pujols eligible for free agency after the 2011 season, I would be wary of committing a large amount of money to a 30-year-old corner outfielder.

None of these concerns will necessarily doom the respective team. But as a Pirate fan, they certainly bring a smile to my face.

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2010 defensive projections

Steve Sommer of Play a Hard Nine posted 2010 defensive projections in November, so let’s look at how the Pirates stack up. Steve combined UZR numbers and the results from Tom Tango’s Fan Scouting Report to come up with his projections. Check out his post for details on the methodology.

In an attempt to give the projections a more visual appearance, I created a knock-off version of Justin Bopp’s TargetView graphs. Above average defenders are in green while below average defenders are in red. Each ring represents one run away from average. For example, Lastings Milledge is projected to be a +5 defender, so he is represented by five green rings. Ronny Cedeno, a -3 defender, is represented by three red rings. My photoshopping skills are very limited, so things look a bit choppy. You can probably tell that the rings are not drawn to scale.

Steve did not have a projection for Jeff Clement, so I used his CHONE defensive projection.

2010 defensive projections

Image courtesy of Bing.com

1B Jeff Clement -2
2B Akinori Iwamura 1
SS Ronny Cedeno -3
3B Andy LaRoche 3
LF Lastings Milledge 5
CF Andrew McCutchen 1
RF Garrett Jones -4

I won’t go into a very detailed analysis, but the one thing that I wanted to touch on is Pedro Alvarez’s future position. The general expectation is that Alvarez will play third upon his arrival in Pittsburgh, with Andy LaRoche potentially moving to second base to make room. I would much rather see Alvarez plugged in at first base instead. Playing Alvarez at third weakens that position, and moving LaRoche to second would weaken another spot. On the other hand, Alvarez would be an upgrade over Clement at first and that would keep LaRoche’s above average glove at third and Akinori Iwamura on the field at second. That extra defensive value outweighs the minor offensive advantage that Clement is likely to hold over LaRoche or Iwamura.

I will finish with an encouraging thought. If we plug Alvarez in at first and Jose Tabata into right, there will likely be quite a bit of green on this picture in one year.

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